Overly Premature Draft Evaluations: 2052
#1
It's that time again. As always, these evals are based solely on starting ratings, depth of the pool, and don't take trades into account. So without further ado, I present to you the Overly Premature draft Evaluations of 2052!

The Winners

Cairo: Was there any doubt? In a deep pitching pool, the Scorps raked in the high-quality arms. Hutchison, Birmingham, and Brown will form a formidable core to Cairo's rotation, no doubt. And in the second round they landed the clear top reliever in the draft in Charlie Delker. Not to mention RF Henry Heffner, one of the top outfield bats out there.

Calabria: Last year I busted Tony's choice for #1. Not this year. Luzinski is the standout high school player in the class of 2052. Highest speed, 20-20 for an 18 yr old. Yeah, this kid is going places. But what really gets the G-Fathers on winners bracket is landing Pete Savage and his 85 sinker at #20. Concerns over Savage's skinny arm and lack of control lead a lot of teams to pass up on him, myself included. He could be a bust, but chances are also high that we'll be talking about him as the Steal of the Draft in 10 years. Welsh and Dresser? Meh. If they turn out well, that's just a bonus for Calabria.

Edmonton: It's rare that I talk about a team that has the standard 1st,2nd,3rd round picks here in the winners circle, but the Orcas freaking nailed it. With Cairo opting for Heffner, Jim Smartwood fell to the Orcas at #5. It's a toss up as to which will turn out better, but neither was a bad option early on. Then they scoop up power hitting 2B Frank Richmond in the 2nd round. With the scarcity of power at that position, I don't see how Richmond made it out of the 1st round. (Okay, I do. All that pitching. But still...) And speaking of power, how often does the guy with the highest actual PH rating get drafted in the 3rd round? True, Binks is 23 and his contact rating probably doesn't get above 75. But a power-hitting 1B/DH with even a decent contact rating is quite a catch this late in the draft. Well done Orcas. Well done.

The Losers

Havana (sorry Ed): The Cigars headline the losers list simply because of talent they passed up. Moronko is a great talent, but he's gonna be relying heavily on the development of that fastball, which is anything but a sure thing in the crowded pool of hard throwers. To take him, Havana passed up arms such as Savage, Hickerson, and Corwin. I also don't like the 2nd round pick of Hulse. Nothing about the guy stands out. I definitely would have taken Stuffel, Thomas or one of the two center fielders that got taken immediately following Havana's pick. Missed opportunities here, I'm afraid.

New York: New York makes the losers list because their picks were nowhere on my radar. The Nukes had their pick of the arms and instead took 2B Bobby Bliss. Bliss's only standout stat is his speed. Maybe that means something in a draft pool that is notoriously slow, but otherwise I can't see any reason to take this guy at #2. In Rd 2, Connaster was actually one of the guys I was expecting to fall to me five picks later. While he may end up with the best slider in the draft, that looks to be his only potential weapon. Another consequence of taking Bliss was passing up on Richmond in Rd 2.

Warsaw: Not that Ed Hooker was a bad pick. Certainly not. But the White Eagles just barely missed out on Irv Brashear, whom I am certain is going to be a star one day. The head scratcher though is taking another similar LF, Rebel Wiesler in round 2. Maybe a trade is in this works, I don't know. and that 12 CH is too low, even for an 18 yr old. If going for the speedy high school outfielder, Jack Johnson makes much more sense.

The Dark Horses

Dublin: Dublin made some great picks in my opinion and just barely missed out on a spot in the winners' circle. All three of the arms they took are 19 and under, so they need a lot of growth to be competitive. Brown and Miller at least, I am confident will be potent power arms for the Daredevils. I have less confidence in Marberry, but he's got a nice pitch variety that might make a good back end starter. Gotta get that command up though.

Vancouver: The Mounties were off to a great start getting Irv Brashear and Jack Blair. But it went downhill from there. Greg chickened out of pulling the trigger on Savage, a move that he will either be kicking himself for or congratulating himself for in a few years time. But what the Mounties really need to be winners in this draft is to have found a diamond or two in the rough of the second round.

Sapporo: Long Beach opting for the glove of Thomas over the bat of Billings may be good news for the offensively-challenged Snow Monkeys. If he puts on enough muscle, his switch-hitting bat will more than make up for his slow feet and glove. Next up: Andy Orosco, an older but stronger player in a position crowded with talent. Since he didn't get drafted by Entebbe, he should have more than 3 years of solid growth in him, enough to make him a good second round pickup. And then there's Bruce Stuffel. Knuckleballers, need I say more.

Honorable Mentions: Long Beach, Panama

Sir Not-Appearing-In-This-Film: Cozumel, Oakland, Rio, Amity, Stockholm
Ryno, Executor of the Entebbe Zealots, Draft Czar.
Barnes Division Champs - 2055, 2056, 2057
Weaverball Champions: 2066, 2067
Francisco Matthei - 2054 ROY, 2056 CY, 2066 Triple Crown.  Paul Blaisedell - 2056 MVP
Bobby Muich - 2060 ROY.  Logan Richter - 2064 ROY.  Art Harris - 2065 ROY.
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#2
Well done as always... well done!!

I wish we were not on the honorable mention list - but better there then the other side...

Since we got several of Calabria's prospects in a deal I am happy with this draft for the future of the Lobsters.


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#3
For the record, had Ken and I not agreed on a deal, I would've taken Reliever Delker that went to Cairo at 25....

I think Ken won our trade because I like Luzinski/Savage a hell of a lot. Finally landed Ardizoia though.
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#4
(07-10-2017, 07:59 AM)Executor_Ryno Wrote: The Losers

Havana (sorry Ed): The Cigars headline the losers list simply because of talent they passed up. Moronko is a great talent, but he's gonna be relying heavily on the development of that fastball, which is anything but a sure thing in the crowded pool of hard throwers. To take him, Havana passed up arms such as Savage, Hickerson, and Corwin. I also don't like the 2nd round pick of Hulse. Nothing about the guy stands out. I definitely would have taken Stuffel, Thomas or one of the two center fielders that got taken immediately following Havana's pick. Missed opportunities here, I'm afraid.

i was in denial about this but after seeing my draftees' growth this offseason... yes.
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#5
(09-15-2017, 11:57 AM)havana Wrote:
(07-10-2017, 07:59 AM)Executor_Ryno Wrote: The Losers

Havana (sorry Ed): The Cigars headline the losers list simply because of talent they passed up. Moronko is a great talent, but he's gonna be relying heavily on the development of that fastball, which is anything but a sure thing in the crowded pool of hard throwers. To take him, Havana passed up arms such as Savage, Hickerson, and Corwin. I also don't like the 2nd round pick of Hulse. Nothing about the guy stands out. I definitely would have taken Stuffel, Thomas or one of the two center fielders that got taken immediately following Havana's pick. Missed opportunities here, I'm afraid.

i was in denial about this but after seeing my draftees' growth this offseason... yes.

Hickerson and Potts didn't grow much either, but in both cases, I took them more for their pitch ratings so we'll see what ST looks like.
Ryno, Executor of the Entebbe Zealots, Draft Czar.
Barnes Division Champs - 2055, 2056, 2057
Weaverball Champions: 2066, 2067
Francisco Matthei - 2054 ROY, 2056 CY, 2066 Triple Crown.  Paul Blaisedell - 2056 MVP
Bobby Muich - 2060 ROY.  Logan Richter - 2064 ROY.  Art Harris - 2065 ROY.
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#6
(09-15-2017, 11:57 AM)havana Wrote:
(07-10-2017, 07:59 AM)Executor_Ryno Wrote: The Losers

Havana (sorry Ed): The Cigars headline the losers list simply because of talent they passed up.  Moronko is a great talent, but he's gonna be relying heavily on the development of that fastball, which is anything but a sure thing in the crowded pool of hard throwers.  To take him, Havana passed up arms such as Savage, Hickerson, and Corwin.  I also don't like the 2nd round pick of Hulse.  Nothing about the guy stands out.  I definitely would have taken Stuffel, Thomas or one of the two center fielders that got taken immediately following Havana's pick.  Missed opportunities here, I'm afraid.

i was in denial about this but after seeing my draftees' growth this offseason... yes.


http://register.weaverball.com/transacti...?year=2052
fun to go through these after 10 years of stats compilation.

still happy with the selection of Moronko as my R1, as he and Hickerson are roughly comparable.  Savage and Corwin just a bit worse.  Ryan got Hulse pegged spot on, he never did much of anything and I think I released him a few seasons back.  1B Dale Thornton would have been a nice pickup at that spot obviously, but that's probably being greedy.  even landing LF Mickey Thomas would have been a good improvement.
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#7
(07-10-2017, 07:59 AM)Executor_Ryno Wrote: The Losers

New York: New York makes the losers list because their picks were nowhere on my radar.  The Nukes had their pick of the arms and instead took 2B Bobby Bliss.  Bliss's only standout stat is his speed.  Maybe that means something in a draft pool that is notoriously slow, but otherwise I can't see any reason to take this guy at #2.  In Rd 2, Connaster was actually one of the guys I was expecting to fall to me five picks later.  While he may end up with the best slider in the draft, that looks to be his only potential weapon.  Another consequence of taking Bliss was passing up on Richmond in Rd 2.

I guess I whiffed on not taking Heffner or Swartwood instead of Bliss, but it’s worked out.  Having Bliss allowed me to deal Willy Rivera as part of a deal for Daesung Jang.  Bliss is my starting 2B and R2 pick Connatser is my S5, not an epic draft but they are a couple of important pieces of a team that I hope makes a title run this fall.

Jim
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#8
For the record, all three players have been consistent starters for the Orcas over the past years.  Only my recent trade pushed Hank Binks out of the 1B/DH role.

RF Jim Swartwood, in 1032 games = .254 Avg, 506 Runs, 1042 Hits, 215 2B, 204 HR, 472 RBI, .295 OBP, 145 SB
2B Frank Richmond, in 1006 games = .238 Avg, 412 Runs, 871 Hits, 165 2B, 150 HR, 372 RBI, .288 OBP, 93 SB        
1B Hank Binks, in 476 games = .177 Avg (not good), 124 Runs, 296 Hits, 34 2B, 52 HR, 119 RBI, .231 OBP, 12 SB

Binks' only made the starting lineup the past two seasons where he hit over .200 with 38 of his home runs and 82 of his RBIs in 276 games batting in the bottom of the order of a platoon.  For a 3rd round pick, I'll take it.  Swartwood had a rough couple seasons but he turned it around.  Richmond has been a stable presence at 2B and in the 5 hole most of his career.

-J.J.
Orcas GM
Weaver Champions: 2033

Roehm Division Champions: 2017
Roehm Division Champions: 2016
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#9
Ten Years Later, let's see how I did.

Winners: Well the arms Cairo drafted in 2052 ended up being used mainly in the bullpen due to the Scorpions' loaded rotation.  The not-to-be-mentioned Heffner has actually turned out to be their biggest contributor.  Irv Luzinski, following a pair of trades, has been one of the bright spots in Sydney in recent years.  Savage, who followed Luzinski to Sydney ended up being a bust.  The sinker only grew by 5 and that noodle arm has stopped it from being as effective.  As mentioned before, I got Edmonton dead on.  Nice draft Orcas.

Losers: Yeah the Cigars could have done better than Moronko, but they could've also done worse.  Second rounder was a bust as predicted.  As for New York, yes Bobby Bliss's ratings aside from speed are meh.  Howaever, he has so far hit better than his ratings would indicate.  And Connaster just keeps getting better and better with each passing year, so yeah, I whiffed on this one.  I also whiffed thinking Irv Brashear was going to be so great.  Meh, no big loss for Warsaw.  That said, no big gain either.  Rebel Wiesler had a terrific rookie year, but otherwise not a lot happening for either Warsaw LF.  

Dark Horses: Yeah I had Dublin pegged as a dark horse and sure enough, each of the pitchers I mentioned has had at least one really good year amidst some ups and downs.  Of the numerous players that Vancouver drafted 10 years ago, only Irv Brashear is still with the team, so there's that.  Too hard to determine what the exact value of these picks was, so let's just move on.  SS Fred Billings for awhile looked like a great pickup for Sapporo, though his power numbers have declined the past couple of years.  On the other hand, or foot rather, Andy Orosco has seen an uptick in his stolen base numbers the past couple years to go with a pretty decent batting average.  And yes, knuckleballers.
Ryno, Executor of the Entebbe Zealots, Draft Czar.
Barnes Division Champs - 2055, 2056, 2057
Weaverball Champions: 2066, 2067
Francisco Matthei - 2054 ROY, 2056 CY, 2066 Triple Crown.  Paul Blaisedell - 2056 MVP
Bobby Muich - 2060 ROY.  Logan Richter - 2064 ROY.  Art Harris - 2065 ROY.
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